Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 44.175721 50.820672 57.743203 65.461558 73.795897 82.494903 92.231628
2024-10-06 34.769758 44.163102 54.519295 66.652027 80.349171 95.216074 112.456263
2024-10-13 29.410689 40.289309 52.796243 67.965698 85.607979 105.243411 128.517537
2024-10-20 24.381903 35.979644 49.859270 67.237307 87.986304 111.581375 140.065285
2024-10-27 19.881964 31.683360 46.388208 65.372291 88.600829 115.535724 148.583333
2024-11-03 18.208145 30.752529 46.855552 68.103039 94.545495 125.614670 164.148485
2024-11-10 16.403337 29.408721 46.610929 69.796857 99.122028 134.007414 177.708247
2024-11-17 13.885753 26.772964 44.436806 68.835256 100.260002 138.157425 186.150139
2024-11-24 11.726318 24.388766 42.382844 67.840726 101.204190 141.958588 194.090563
2024-12-01 10.221707 22.809243 41.291027 67.993534 103.511677 147.368418 203.939273
2024-12-08 8.927286 21.399038 40.313906 68.199227 105.813072 152.724617 213.701544
2024-12-15 7.899315 20.298388 39.689042 68.811178 108.591980 158.649899 224.157601
2024-12-22 6.622969 18.610197 38.089587 68.009503 109.496222 162.247472 231.822029
2024-12-29 5.935938 17.902409 37.929894 69.211083 113.062608 169.241708 243.753193
2025-01-05 5.354751 17.312298 37.898280 70.558476 116.806078 176.461630 255.984931
2025-01-12 4.454748 15.931323 36.490603 69.812427 117.638095 179.891556 263.431567
2025-01-19 3.492560 14.213394 34.380537 67.902792 116.773240 181.048339 267.951231
2025-01-26 3.348819 14.333958 35.383567 70.698775 122.474407 190.822933 283.479986
2025-02-02 3.066450 14.073946 35.700147 72.432568 126.687034 198.655027 296.557821
2025-02-09 2.469298 12.891796 34.300853 71.448318 127.013868 201.324915 303.004644
2025-02-16 1.956097 11.779871 32.929288 70.430238 127.235482 203.817007 309.199933
2025-02-23 1.631453 11.111422 32.323037 70.586674 129.119046 208.519227 318.256817
2025-03-02 1.353988 10.499390 31.772546 70.797243 131.060193 213.291877 327.411760